Phillies vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 27

Phillies vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 27

Trea Turner and Paul Goldschmidt will be among the star attractions when the Philadelphia Phillies take on the New York Yankees this Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are listed as +115 moneyline underdogs for this match against the favored Phillies (-136). Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5), with a total set at 7.5 runs for the game.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective for the Phillies-Yankees game, covering the run line, moneyline, and total, along with expert picks. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.

Phillies vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 27, 2025, at 1:35 p.m. ET

Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York

How to watch on TV: YES and NBCS-PH

Favorite Moneyline: Phillies -136

Underdog Moneyline: Yankees +115

Total Over: 7.5 -115

Total Under: 7.5 -105

Run Line Favorite: Phillies -1.5 +128

Run Line Underdog: Yankees +1.5 -154

Phillies vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Phillies 4

Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Yankees 47%

Phillies vs. Yankees Betting Insights

The Phillies have played as favorites 82 times this season, winning 52 of those games, translating to a 63.4% win rate. This season, Philadelphia has claimed victory in 37 of their 57 games, or 64.9%, when favored by at least -136 on the moneyline. The moneyline suggests the Phillies have a 57.6% chance of winning.

Meanwhile, the Yankees have won 5 of the 14 games they were underdogs in this season, giving them a 35.7% success rate as underdogs. New York has recorded one win in three games listed at least +115 or worse on the moneyline, implying a 46.5% chance of winning this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have been the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, finishing with a record of 5-4 in those matchups. In their most recent 10 games, Philadelphia and their opponents combined to exceed the run total seven times. The Phillies’ against-the-spread (ATS) record stands at 4-6-0 during this stretch.

Phillies Recent Stats

Record: 6-4

Runs Per Game: 5 pia ildefonso issue pba score 2022.8

Home Runs: 18

ERA: 4. uaap scores today bren esports logo21

K/9: 10.7

Phillies Player Insights

Kyle Schwarber has emerged as the Phillies’ top power hitter, smashing 36 home runs this season while driving in 84 runs, both of which lead the team. He ranks fourth among all hitters in homers and RBIs. Schwarber has recorded hits in four consecutive games, batting .348 with a double, four home runs, two walks, and 10 RBIs in his last five games.

Trea Turner is currently leading the team with a .296 batting average. He ranks 113th in home runs and 88th in RBIs across all MLB hitters. Turner has also managed at least one hit in four straight games and is batting .435 over his last five appearances with three doubles, a triple, two walks, and three RBIs.

Bryce Harper has collected 22 doubles, 15 home runs, and 47 walks, while hitting .266. Nick Castellanos has 23 doubles, one triple, 13 home runs, and 22 walks with a .270 batting average. Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in four consecutive games, batting .227 with a double, a home run, and four RBIs in his last five outings.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U – Trea Turner 0.5 (-255), Nick Castellanos 0.5 (-215), Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-195), J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-200), Bryce Harper 0.5 (-205)

Total Bases O/U – Trea Turner 1.5 (+105), Nick Castellanos 1.5 (+120), Kyle Schwarber 1.5 (+105), J. petro gazz angels players 2023T. Realmuto 1.5 (+140), Bryce Harper 1.5 (+120)

RBI O/U – Trea Turner 0.5 (+145), Nick Castellanos 0.5 (+175), Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (+140), J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (+190), Bryce Harper 0.5 (+160)

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

In the last 10 matchups, the Yankees have recorded a 2-2 record when playing as underdogs. The Yankees and their opponents have combined to exceed the total in five of their last 10 games. The Yankees’ ATS record is 2-8-0 over their last 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Record: 3-7

Runs Per Game: 4.1

Home Runs: 19

ERA: 5.79

K/9: 6.9

Yankees Player Insights

Cody Bellinger has contributed 20 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs, and 30 walks while batting .281 this season, placing him 27th in MLB for home runs and 41st for RBIs. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .287 with 23 doubles, one triple, eight home runs, and 30 walks but ranks lower in both home runs and RBIs across the league. Anthony Volpe has achieved 22 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs, and 35 walks, with a batting average of .217, while Trent Grisham is hitting .252 with nine doubles, one triple, 17 home runs, and 45 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U – Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-200), Trent Grisham 0.5 (-155), Ryan McMahon 0.5 (-115)

RBI O/U – Trent Grisham 0.5 (+250), Ryan McMahon 0.5 (+280)

What are your thoughts on this match-up between the Phillies and Yankees?